Saturday, December 31, 2011

Smashing Greater Central Asia – Part IV

Smashing Systematically....

Peter Chamberlin

The pipeline wars are real wars, in that two or more nations are ordering their civilian and military foot soldiers, on a daily basis, into life or death contests to the finish. For the United States, it is a contest which must be won, if we are to survive, according to most of our national leaders. But is that really true? According to both civilian and military authorities, if we lose this war, then we lose “our way of life.” That may be true, but it does not mean the end of us as a free Republic. America will go on, even after the impending military defeat. We cannot win…We cannot be allowed to win, if victory means world conquest.

The next phase of action in the battle to smash greater Central Asia will probably be the most dangerous phase of the war (other than the final global conflagration, if there is to be one). The unfolding grand production will involve the usual mixture of open and covert measures, following a carefully choreographed ballet of geopolitical and geostrategic forces.

The real danger will arise out of the uncertainty factor that is inherent in all conspiratorial plans. The great danger will arise when the plan for total control double-crosses dictators who think they have been part of that plan. The uncertainty of their future reactions to threats to their survival is the sand in the wheels of the military machine. In nearly all cases, normal people can be counted upon to make the choices that seem to guarantee their survival, even if they contradict lucrative backroom deals that have been made with powerful individuals. Unhinged dictators may choose to bring the grand production down with them.

In the coming conflagration, no one (not even the genius planners who have designed this powerful international soap opera) can know for certain just what will happen next. No matter how many computer simulations they have run, no matter how many ways they have war-gamed the human psyche, using their complex logarithms for predicting human behavior in a crisis, no one can predict the future. This is especially true when trying to predict the reactions of dictators, who find themselves alone and cornered. Cocksure generals and intelligence analysts are convinced that they can predict the course of a limited warfare scenario. Preventing a planned limited warfare engagement between nuclear-armed adversaries from escalating into total thermonuclear war is the key to our survival. Asshole generals and admirals do not have that degree of control of our world, no matter what they think.

Students of human nature understand that, in this world of rapidly-building social tensions, the coming conflagration will take the form of a mass human uprising. There will be no reapplication of the “Libya solution,” over and over, until the world is swept clean. If the West dares to pull that trick again, this time upon either Syria or Iran, the outcome will be completely different. Neither Russia nor China is prepared to allow NATO to get away with this again. There are some actual “red lines” in this brave new world that no power dares to cross. There are “red lines” in the desert sands and in the blue waters of the Middle East. Russia has also scattered red lines all over the former Soviet Union.

Given time, every dictator will be unseated, even the secret ones, those faceless men who reveal their faces to the world, while they are manipulating commerce for their own profit. The day of retribution is at hand for the world-planners, and most of them understand this. That fact is what elevates the threat from the burgeoning global social revolution, making it even more dangerous to dictators than any military power. Taking into account this universal fear of all dictators, we can see that the only part that any of us play in this great human drama is in either impeding or accelerating that coming day of freedom. For the day when the last secret dictator falls will be the day that mankind’s full potential is set free from the cages within our minds, which bind us all.

The problem with predicting the decisions to be made by panicking dictators, is that they are not normal human beings, most of them fitting easily into the mold of psychopaths, if only because of the methods that they used in pushing themselves into their seats of power. During the last days of the Soviet Union, not one analyst in the West could have imagined in their best-case/worst-case scenarios the decision that Mikhail Gorbachev had already made, to pull the plug on the Soviet Union and simply allow it to die. This unpredictability is one of the things which make dictators so dangerous. It certainly is a major factor in discouraging most people from even trying to understand them. But I am not most people. Efforts like mine, to understand the minds of the dictators, who have all been targeted for political “termination,” may be the best path for anticipating what Obama has planned for us next.

I have always tended to believe the worst about our leaders’ intentions, up until now, that one day their actions would make nuclear war inevitable. After learning of some of their hidden capabilities, especially their ability to manipulate human behavior, I have had to fine-tune my beliefs. Western behavioral control specialists have devised an elementary mind-control science, which gives them the capability to “manage conflict,” to prevent conflicts from escalating into total global war.

If only our leaders were capable of compromise, making them willing to renounce their great plans for world domination, then they could use their power over man for the benefit of all mankind. As it is, our leaders are all American supremacists, who believe that American domination of the world would be for the betterment of all mankind. These types see our wars of “humanitarian intervention” (such as the recent NATO slaughter in Libya) as acts of benevolence. The rest of the world looks at our wars and the havoc that we have wrought from Afghanistan to North Africa and sees them as the acts of “state terrorism” which they really are.

All the world really is “a stage” in America’s “war on terrorism,” which is actually the greatest psychological warfare operation ever conceived by the minds of men. The trick for understanding this synthetic world we live in, is learning to think of every event that is reported by national news media as a deception, because it probably is. Learning to look behind the publicized events which shape popular opinion, is the key to understanding our manufactured reality. Any report which makes it into the “legitimate press” is either there to help dull our senses, or to mislead us, diverting us from real news stories which might awaken us from our slumber.

In the “global war on terror” everything is based on deception. American media and Western media in particular, have worked hand-in-glove with the US government to mold American popular opinion, as well as world opinion, around a false narrative. Together, government and its subservient media have dispensed a synthetic reality of a “heroic” American military intervention, that is serving as a “force for good” around the world. Not once, have any of the “legitimate news” sources questioned the destruction that has been left in our wake, or the millions of lives that have been sacrificed so far, on the altar of projected American magnanimity.

The global terror war operates around an unknown number of separate psychological warfare operations, with each major production leading its targeted audiences to accept a simple central narrative—“America’s terror war is one of good –vs—evil.”

There are several central disinformation operations, around which the global narrative revolves—

War between Iran and the US is inevitable.

American forces are at war against militant Islamists.

The United States is a protector of human rights.

The US/NATO will one day end its war and leave Afghanistan.

The American goal is to bring prosperity to the world.

None of these statements are true; in fact, they are all calculated to produce the exact opposite outcomes in the new manufactured reality. Iranian, American and British intelligence agencies all work together, to create the false impression of an inevitable global conflagration. Militant Islamists are manipulated by the CIA and by military controllers, to provide America with an excuse to unleash its military power upon a targeted country. The US is moving us all away from a state of worldwide freedom, where full human rights are the norm, instead of the exception, towards a global police state under American domination. The US cannot consider leaving Afghanistan, without first giving-up on its plans for “Silk Roads” and “pipelinestan.” American leaders plan to avoid the effects of the economic collapse (which their greed has caused), by taking control over the global economy, where they will oversee the diminution of personal wealth for most of us.

Obama’s America operates under a different set of rules than those which have governed his predecessors. He doesn’t even bother hiding the two faces of American foreign policy—one of benevolence and one of menace.

Obama and Hillary are a perfect pair for deploying this strategy—she dispenses the warm smiles, while she uses her feminine wiles to push “humanitarian intervention,” while he often sports the determined grimace of a mafia “Don,” making backroom threats and offers which dictators dare not refuse.

The drive to win the pipeline wars for Central Asian blue gas and black gold makes use of every national and international asset to clear the pipeline corridor, connecting the Caspian to the Arabian Seas, eventually reaching the Pakistani port built by the Chinese at Gwadar. The US plan has been to network its way into this New World Order. NATO took a big first-step toward this new world when it created the “Virtual Silk Road,” a computer network which services eight of the CIS governments of the former Soviet Union (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan). NATO provides this network to Eastern governments as a service, creating for them a virtual domain over everything in their real domains. This Western service operates from a central hub at Deutsches Elektronen-SYnchrotron (DESY) in Hamburg, Germany (at the home of one of Europe’s largest particle accelerators). The Soros Foundation is one of the Silk Project’s backers.

It may be that the German angle is the key to unraveling this whole knot. Germany seems to be a key-way for “Islamists” to integrate into Europe. German Industrial giant Siemens has won the Turkmen state contract for electrification of the country, water distribution, Caspian oil exploration.

Germany could be considered to be one of the “nodes” in a greater virtual network, which provides the Empire real power to manipulate the world, using powerful nations (nodes) like Germany as tools to oversee lesser nations, such as those in Central Asia. Turkey is another node. Istanbul services the Empire’s need for local personal connections into the Turkmen culture, which stretches deep into Central Asia, all the way to Russia. Turkey provides unique services, in addition to manufacturing and construction projects, Turkey helps by producing fake “al-Qaeda,” Hizb-ut Tahrir and even Chechen militants, who have been either recruited or arrested inside Turkey. This militant recruitment circuit is used for funneling militant players into local Turkmen-based psyops. Turkey also provides the ground troops of Fethullah Gülen’s “moderate Islamists,” who build Islamist-based schools in former Soviet territory, or work from homes to clandestinely spread the teachings of the “Nurcular” movement, which has been banned in Russia as extremist literature. This provides perfect fertile ground for spreading the seeds of Islamist teachings and the widespread Islamaphobic reactions, which always follow.

It is the so-called “moderate Islamists” of Fethullah Gulen and Hizbut-Tahrir (both of which impart the teachings of Said Nursi) which represent the greatest danger of quietly radicalizing the young men of Russia and Central Asia. Their manmade versions of Islam are intended to bend innocent, hungry minds, imparting a false set of ideological beliefs, full of triggering injunctions, that give believers a false sense of moral superiority and a hatred of all of those weaker souls (infidels) who dare to believe differently.

The following definition of that psychological danger is a judgment from the Moscow district court, which describes this psychological mechanism, taught in Nursi’s writings, called “Risale-i Nur”–

[Risale-i Nur] “attempts to influence the psyche of the reader subconsciously using mechanisms of religious belief, i.e. the formation of conscious values and convictions with an irrational basis…,the destruction of religious equality, expressed in the formation of a negative, aggressive attitude among its target audience towards adherents of other confessional groups…,propagandises hatred between Muslims and non-believers.”

This process utilizes the same triggering mechanism of religious guilt that has been used for many years by the Wahhabi and radical Deobandi leaders, to brainwash young suicide bombers all over Asia, and the Middle East. The followers of Nursi follow a gentler approach, but they still motivate young minds with the same mission to defend their false beliefs, which have been methodically drummed into them, filling them with ideas of moral superiority and hatred for everyone who is different. Once their conditioning is complete, they are given the triggering verses (which have been lifted out of context from the real Quran), confronting them with a moral choice, which they cannot escape—will they defend God, or will they surrender to their own sinful natures?

Excessive concerns about the dangers from the spread of these forms of pseudo-Islam may be premature, when there are real Islamic scholars, like Hoji Akbar Turajonzoda (SEE: Tajik Mufti Who Sees Through Anti-Islamist Western Subversion, Targeted By Tajik Court) in Tajikistan, who very boldly speaks-out against these false belief systems. Turajonzoda is second-in-command of the Islamic Revival Party of Tajikistan.

“He has called Hizb ut-Tahrir, an international Islamist organization, a threat to Tajikistan’s stability.[4] He claimed HT is Western-sponsored and that it wants to “remak[e] Central Asia… A more detailed analysis of HT’s programmatic and ideological views and concrete examples of its activities suggests that it was created by anti-Islamic forces. One proof of this is the comfortable existence this organization enjoys in a number of Western countries, where it has large centers and offices that develop its concept of an Islamic caliphate.”

Hizbut-Tahrir is a British creation, a weaponized form of Islam, which has been passed on to the American Empire-builders. The spread of this viral form of pseudo-religious mass-hypnosis coincides with a rapidly increasing Western-motivated wave of social unrest in the Muslim world and the rise of militant Islamists in the former Soviet space.

Middle Eastern countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE serve as other nodes, which provide the destabilizing forces with unseen access in Sunni-dominant regions of South and Central Asia, such as Pakistan, where the Saudis spread dollars among the radical madrassas like “manna” from on high. The UAE controls Shamsi air base in Jacobabad, Pakistan. Saudi penetration into CA is understood to be primarily through the building of Sunni mosques and similar religious institutions (many of them allegedly Gulen schools), throughout CA, particularly in the Fergana Valley. Saudi service to the Empire goes far deeper than these more obvious efforts, since the Saudis are the financial benefactors of most “Islamist” movements (except for the Shia ones), especially the ones which are active in Chechnya and the Caucasus. Bahrain provides another kind of service in other areas, where there is contention or commerce between Sunnis and Shias, or in those countries bordering Iran, such as Turkmenistan.

The psywar for borderline states like Turkmenistan must plan around the special circumstances which are deemed to be matters of survival. The current President of Turkmenistan, Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedow, as well as his predecessor, have maintained a strict neutrality for the country, even though Imperial wars raged all around them. Any effort by CIA planners to bend the will of the “Hero of Turkmenistan” must not violate that neutrality, or it must at least maintain the appearance of neutrality. That public appearance of Turkmen “neutrality” must be maintained, even after the presidential mind has been successfully twisted and he has secretly accepted Imperial domination.

According to the following article from the alternative Turkmen website, Gundogar, (SEE: Predetermined range of Turkmenistan), that goal has already been reached. According to Turkmen author, Ruslan Babanov, Berdimuhamedov’s decisions may all be slanted, as he tries to accommodate his belief that a US/Israeli airstrike against Iran is inevitable. Babanov contends that he is flying blind, trying to navigate the treacherous currents that are ebbing and flowing around and through his country, moving back and forth between two bitter “frenemies,” Russia and the US/NATO.

He therefore feels compelled to follow American dictates and to accommodate Israeli interests in his country. This belief apparently causes him to accept Western plans for harvesting Turkmen gas, as the first stage in dominating all Central Asian gas and oil. He wants to see his gas flowing towards Europe, if only because that is the Imperial demand being made on him. The author of that piece apparently agrees with my contention that the Turkmen President, like all the Central Asian dictators, will eventually turn to Russia, if the Arab Spring revolutions rise-up in their own neighborhood. At that point in the game, they will fear being overthrown by the very real masses of protesters, more than they will fear a hypothetical American/Israeli strike upon neighboring Iran.

If the tables are turned upon the Imperial planners in that manner, and the political climate in Central Asia begins to resemble that which was recently witnessed in Kazakhistan, then Putin might see his Eurasian Union become a reality.

Until those tables are turned, Berdimuhamedov will have to maintain normal commerce with his heavily persecuted Shia neighbor. The government in Iran is known to protest vociferously whenever this Turkmen tilt towards the West becomes apparent. Once more quoting Babanov, the Chief of Staff or the Iranian Armed Forces, Major General Seyed Hassan Firuzabadi frames the Turkmen dilemma this way–

”We are taking all measures to limit the influence of the Zionists in the neighboring state of Iran, in particular, Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan.”

If Berdy really was the “hero of Turkmenistan,” then he would take actions to defend her against all outside aggression, this would mean fighting back against Imperial subversion and destabilization, in the manner of the counter-revolutionary efforts recently made by the Egyptian Army (SEE: Egyptian Police Fight Back Against State Dept./Soros Subversive NGOs). Today, the Army cleaned-out the offices of US and other foreign NGOs, whose sole purpose is to undermine the government there, even though they claim to be defenders of “human rights.”

The National Democratic Institute (NDI), the International Republican Institute (IRI) and Freedom House are all subversive command centers, whose foot soldiers act like little moles, as they busily burrow their way into local and national service organizations in Turkmenistan and in every country of Central Asia, or in the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The compromised local organizations become compromised, turning into larger instruments of subversion. The biggest problem for subverting the CA countries through human rights NGOs, is that dictators like the Turkmen and Uzbek presidents are unwilling to tolerate US criticisms of human rights abuses. The more that the Western groups criticize these governments, the farther apart the two sides become.

Are Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan more afraid of revolution or of a US/Israeli attack upon Iran? Decrease fears of US strike, increase fears of revolution, especially Islamist revolution, and you move both nations closer to the Russian sphere of influence. Russians are staunch supporters of Iran supporter and they are thought to be willing to use whatever force is needed to protect the sovereignty of Iran, just as they will do whatever is necessary to quell any insurrection that threatens their own survival.

So far, Uzbekistan has remained a part of CSTO, but its President, Islam Karimov has refused to take part in preparations for a predominantly Russian rapid reaction force. Uzbekistan’s tilt towards the West has created doubts about its allegiances to any regional grouping that is dominated by Russia. That may have just changed as Uzbek negotiators participated in recent Moscow meetings to hammer-out details and financing for Collective Operational Reaction Forces (CORF). This would also include measures to control the Internet during a regional emergency situation. Recently, Russia, China, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan submitted a resolution to the U.N., petitioning the General Assembly to delegate to individual states the right to control the Internet during emergency situations, such as the recent Kazakh oil worker protests and major rioting.

Such an explosive situation may be in the making in Russia. The Moscow protests are shaping-up to be a test, a counter-attack set-up by the State Dept. experts in revolutionary democratic subversion, to prove to the rest of the CIS states that Putin’s way of reviving the violent old ways of the Communist Party will not work in this media age. In the past, Putin has been quoted as saying that unlawful protestors should “expect a baton to the skull.” If the world is forced to choose between the violence of the West’s war on terror campaign, or the violence of Russia, based upon the suppression of those democratic rights, then the world will choose to side with the known quantity, the Western ways. However, the CA dictators are not being asked to do the right thing, they are being compelled to do whatever it takes to survive.

The dictators of the world may have been able to fit into the democratic world on an economic basis, but they can never really fit-into this world, until they loosen their grip on the reins of power. This is a risk that they dare not take. In trying to force Putin to give-up power, Obama has reminded the rest of the world’s dictators and authoritarians of the very real dangers to them from the forces of unleashed democracy. Allow people to say anything that they want and red lines will be crossed, lines which can never be uncrossed. This is the lesson to be learned from Hillary’s Moscow agitation.

How Putin handles the growing test represented by the Moscow protests will determine for the rest of the former Soviet dictators of the wisdom of a Russian led counter-revolutionary rapid deployment force—vs –an American-led force. If Putin manages to put-down the challenge and afterwards, he is able to placate the protesters’ demands, then he will have demonstrated the practical value of his approach over that of Obama’s.

How Obama counters the challenge coming from a revitalized Putin (a Putin who is thereafter seen as a force for stability) will probably be the deciding factor in whether America suffers a moderately painful repositioning of its resources and a cessation of hostilities against the world, or whether we take a very large portion of the world with us as we strike-out in a fiery last gasp. America must face the fact that it cannot continue to have its way with the world, on the lame excuse that we are “fighting terror” and “defending freedom.” The entire world is slowly catching-on, that we have been sowing terror and snuffing-out the last vestiges of individual freedom.

It is presently in US interests to calm the Central Asian dictators’ fears over an Arab Spring virus breaking out in their domains. If Russia chooses to challenge the West as it makes a grab for its former national resources, then it would be in Russia’s interests to stoke those fears, as a means to build support for a Russian alliance and rapid reaction force in CA, instead of the American version being pushed upon them.

If Obama doesn’t want Putin to be the leading actor in this psychodrama, then he will accentuate the fears which cause sleepless nights for everyone in the CA neighborhood and the entire hemisphere—Islamists. It would serve American interests to heighten fears of an Islamist uprising, or a spillover from Afghanistan, or heightened fears over those nasty nuclear-armed Islamists in Iran and Pakistan.

If Russian leaders have been paying attention, then they too, will have copied American dexterity in manipulating people into situations that they would choose to avoid if left on their own. They would move the people of CA in the direction that they want them to go in, but they would do it in a way which improved people’s lives in some major way. Just like the Virtual Silk Project, which greatly improved inefficient governments, it also brought with it multiple national Internet systems that let thousands of people improve their lives in countless ways. By working with the officials and professionals who use this network, the Americans and Europeans have networked themselves into the hearts of these countries, making themselves vital cogs in the great machines of the young Central Asian states. This says nothing of potential, secret ways in which NATO could have gained advantages over their major adversaries by providing this insiders network.

Russia could also gain similar advantages if Putin would invest some of those Gazprom profits into modernizing some of the decrepit national roads, railroads, water and energy transmission systems that the CA nations are trying to survive on. If Russia wants to advance itself among civilized Nations then its leaders will learn important lessons from America’s fall and begin to act like a great power. It will start helping its former allies and stop trying to gain economic advantage over them. This world is rapidly changing and Nations which refuse to change along with it will be swept away by the howling winds of history.

Russia rises or falls in current world opinion, based on its resistance to American Imperial aggression, or lack thereof. With the NATO powers rising as world aggressors, the world looks to Russia to resist. Acting in the role of a champion of the targeted nations of the Middle East and Africa, Russia grows in stature in direct proportion to America’s fall. The tipping point has now been reached, where every new Western aggression moves greater numbers of people to the side of anyone who will resist the aggression.

The moment of decision has now come, when the atmosphere of fear that America and her Western allies have been striving so hard to create starts to dissipate just a little, so that people might see through the smoky haze of the false reality that has been created. If the entire world suddenly learns that we have all been following lies for the past ten years there will be no allies left to wage the Empire’s wars. What repercussions will Americans throughout the world suffer if suddenly it became obvious that we were all being blackmailed into waging a war that none of us wanted?

How many governments have been forced into supporting the US campaign out of fear of an American/Israeli strike upon Iran? How many have joined us out of a fear of being overrun by an wave of Islamists? In the Bush/Cheney campaign to gain support for their terror war, they forced every government to decide whether they were “with us or against us.” This was the prototype of the pattern that was to be followed throughout the perpetual war. Now, instead of threatening to bomb someone “back to the Stone Age,” we have forced countless conscientious people to warn the world at the top of their lungs, that we are about to cause nuclear war in the Middle East. The new imperative question then becomes—Whose side do you want to be on?

How corrupt, or how far gone, does a government have to be, if the only way it can survive the damage it has caused by its own excesses is to extort half of the world into doing its will and the other half into serving as its “sacrificial sheep” on the altar of prosperity? If the only way that this Nation can survive is on the backs of others, then does it even deserve to survive? What has become of the sterling moral fiber which once allegedly made us so worthy of such international respect?

In the final analysis, how much of this threatened violence, which constantly bombards us from US and Western sources, is for real? As crazy and as borderline berserker as Bush and Cheney and the rest of the neocons crowd appeared to be, would they really have followed through and eliminated the state of Pakistan, if Musharraf hadn’t given in to their demands? After ten years of depleting the most expensive and hardest to replace weapons in the US and NATO arsenals, as well as wearing-out their delivery systems, are Western forces still capable of sending any moderately-armed nation like Iran or Pakistan back to the Stone Age, without crossing the nuclear threshold in the process? Have Bush and Obama “shot our wad,” before taking-out the most important primary targets, which stand between us and world conquest? There will be no Pipelineistan or Silk Road without either Pakistan or Iran at our side.

What have we really accomplished in either Afghanistan or Iraq, other than totally destroying two previously functioning nations, without defeating any of our chosen “enemies,” considering that their guerilla armies still remain intact? Does “mission accomplished” mean that we have successfully destroyed these countries and forced their armies to adopt an asymmetric warfare strategy? We have proved ourselves to be very efficient at mass-destruction, but we are no better at defeating guerilla armies than anybody else. The bloody terrorist strategy that we set loose upon the Soviets in Afghanistan so many years ago has come home to plague us and to deprive us of an elusive victory. We taught the original Mujahedeen very well. They have proven to be very proficient at teaching their learned skills to others. Through our subversive efforts, the entire world has been made aware of the fact that each man can be an army unto himself, if only he has the will to make it so.

Weighing our future military actions upon these many errors of the past, we begin to see just how many of the military threats that have carried this war (especially the part about recruiting recalcitrant allies) were hollow. Comparing the red-hot rhetoric sweetened with the honey dripping from the tongues of armies of American diplomats, to the reality of our actions, one thing becomes apparent—all or most of our actions have turned-out to be rational, no matter how insane the threats used to get us to that place seemed to be. That is the standard that we must use, when judging American and Israeli threats against Iran. If starting a war with Iran would be an insane act, and most American experts admit that this is correct, then bombing Iran would prove to be an irrational act. This tells us that there is very little chance that America will allow Israel to bomb Iran.

Following the Imperial line of thinking, beyond the possibilities of war with Iran, for a Nation committed to rationality, are there anticipated circumstances before us, when the only foreseeable rational solution would be to do the irrational thing? Will there come a time, when taking a calculated, insane-seeming risk is the only rational decision that our leaders can make? Have the devious American and British planners set us up for a great collision with the other great world powers in our immediate future? Do they have a Final Solution in mind for us all, a decisive nuclear war with either Russia or China?

Does it make sense to the self-elected world planners that a significant portion of humanity be eliminated, for the sake of some perceived “greater good”? Have the powers that be come to the merciless, immoral conclusion that “the needs of the many really do outweigh the needs of the few”? If this is the case, then the rest of mankind would be compelled to make the moral decision to resist this planned genocide. This is pure insanity; where is the logic in killing millions of innocent human beings? What exactly is the truth about all the bullshit that our government has been spreading around for so many years?

If the American and other Western oligarchs have foreseen their own destruction at the hands of the people (who will soon respond to the powerful motivations which have been unleashed), then their only logical choice for self-preservation would be to prevent that global mob from reaching that critical mass. This is the logic of the psychopath, the subject at the center of all “conspiracy theories.” All such “conspiracy theorists” research this common element, the psychopaths who rule over us. This probably explains why we have all been branded as lunatics ourselves.

In a reverse logic of that dispensed by the psychopathic ruling elite, we must communicate the threat of this probable future, as our own motivational tool. Just as the elite use the threat of an insane war upon Iran to force others to join their side, we know that we must project the threat of a US/Russia nuclear war to force people to join us in the anti-Empire resistance. That is my purpose and that of thousands of others just like me, to warn about the psychopaths who rule us, before it is too late....

Sunday, December 18, 2011

نهاد شلومو المشنوق ايلي بترايوس ناكوزي مكلفين من الاميركيين باسقاط رجال الاسد نفسيا بالشائعات

نهاد شلومو المشنوق ايلي بترايوس ناكوزي مكلفين من الاميركيين باسقاط رجال الاسد نفسيا بالشائعات
اذا كان الاميركي يريد غزو سورية فلماذا ينتظر الى الآن ؟ وهل يصدق عاقل ان مجلس الامن والفيتو الروسي هوالسبب ؟

الجنرال بترايوس

نهاد المشنوق وابنه صالح عميل ابن عميل وجاسوس ابن جاسوس

البوي فراند الخاص بكلب الجنرال بترايوس المدعو ايلي ناكوزي

لو كان الاطلسي او الاميركي او التركي قادرا على غزو سورية لفعلها ولو كان التركي او الاسرائيلي قادرا عى القيام بانقلاب عسكري على الاسد لما انتظر ولو كان قادرا على ضرب الجيش السوري بالطيران لما منعه شيء ولكن ما يمنع كل هؤلاء هو وجود اسرائيل دولتنا الحبيبة على حدود مجرمي النظام السوري المستعدين بكل سرور لضرب عشرة صواريخ ملغومة بالامراض المعدية وبمجاري الشام ردا على اي صاروخ امريكي يصيب سورية
توازن الرعب ليس بين الجيش السوري والاميركي بل بين السوريين وحلفائهم من جهة وبين الصواريخ التي ستسقط على راس شعبنا اليهودي المسكين .

لا داعي للشرح الطويل ، فكل اغاوات العرب وفقرائهم يعرفون ان الجنرال بترايوس هو مجرم حرب قتل من العراقيين اكثر مما قتل
الطاعون من جيش نابليون بونابرت اثناء حصاره لاسوار عكا
واما الصحافي نهاد المشنوق فهو صديق عزيز للكثير من الرفاق البعثيين السابقين النوفو ريش الحاليين في لبنان وبالتالي في سورية وهو ايضا ولخفة في عقل من يصدقونه لا لخفة دمه مقبول ومطلوب ايضا في العاصمتين السورية واللبنانية وله حظوة عند اشد اعداء سعد الحريري في بلاد الشام
ليش ؟؟
الله بيعرف
اما ايلي ناكوزي فهو وكما يعرف الجميع على علاقة عمل مع المخابرات الاميركية التي لها تسميات عديدة منها السي آي ايه ومنها مخابرات الجيش ومنها مخابرات البحرية ولكن صديقنا ايلي ناكوزي يعمل مع كل الاجهزة الاميركية لا لخفة دمه ايضا بل لانه شغيل ومتعوب عليه امنيا فهو خريج جهاز امن القوات اللبنانية ايام الحرب الاهلية يعني انه تدرب على يد الاجهزة الاسرائيلية ومن ثم نمى قدراته ذاتيا وربما هو الرجل الوحيد في لبنان الذي لا يمانع لاسباب امنية من النوم مع رجل او امرأة او مع كلب بترايوس لارضاء الاخير جنسيا (الكلب ) وصاحبه عاطفيا (اي بترايوس )لان الجنرال الاميركي الذي قتل الاف العراقيين بدم بارد يبكي حين يرى دمعة تنزل من عيني كلبه سبارتكوس

خلاصة الموضوع ان السيدين ايلي ناكوزي ونهاد المشنوق عميلا قديما وموثوقان للمخابرات الاسرائيلية وتعاونهما مع المخابرات الاميركية اكان في سورية اما في لبنان ام في المهجر ام في العراق كما هي حالة ايلي ناكوزي - تتم برضى اسرائيلي وبمعرفة مخابراتهم لذا العمل للاميركي مخابراتيا لا يفسد للود بين ناكوزي والمشنوق من جهة وبينهم وبين الاسرائيليين من جهة اخرى

اما المهمة الحالية والتي يتولاها الطرفان منذ بداية الثورة السورية ضد نظام الشمولي البعثي لبشار الاسد فتتمثل في تحطيم معنويات ضباط سوريين لا يزالون يملكون اصدقاء مشتركين مع كلا العميلين الاسرائيليين نهاد المشنوف وايلي ناكوزي

كيف يتم ذلك ؟؟
تقول المعلومات ان ايلي ناكوزي - صديق شخصي للجنرال بترايوس نتيجة للعلاقة العاطفية التي تربط ناكوزي بكلب بترايوس واما نهاد المشنوق فهو معروف بانه مقرب من سعد الحريري ومش مقرب وهو معروف انه مقرب من السوريين ومش مقرب وهو مقرب من الفرنسيين ومش مقرب وهو مقرب من حركة امل ومش مقرب وهو مقرب من قيادات في حزب الله ومش مقرب وبالتالي ........هو مثل الزيبق معك وضدك في آن وهي اهم صفات المخابراتيين على الاطلاق

ايلي ناكوزي يقدم نفسه لاصدقاءه من اعداء الاميركيين ومن اصدقاء سورية بصفته الثرثار الذي ينقل احاديث بترايوس الى الحبايب في لبنان ومنهم الى الحبايب في سورية

ونهاد المشنوق يقوم بالمثل اي انه ينقل احاديث الاميركيين الذين يتلقيهم في بيروت في عوكر والفرنسيين الذين يتلقيهم في اي مكان وزمان ويزعم امام رفاقه ورفقائه وزملائه خاصة امام من يتردد منهم على سورية بانه حقا حقا قلبو على سورية ثم يسرب ثرثرات شكلها تافه ولكن هدفها عميق وشديد الخطورة

في علم الاستخبارات الذي نعرف شوية وشويتين منه يقال لمن يخترق عقل الطرف المعادي

بانه نفوذي نفسي
اي انه له نفوذ على التوازن النفسي لرجال الاعداء الكبار

فكيف يمكن لشخص معروف بعمالته للاميركي وللاسرائيلي مثل ايلي ناكوزي ولزميله المشهور بعمالته للموساد نهاد المشنوق كيف يمكن لكل من هاذين المرتزقين العاهرين عند الاميركي وعند الاسرائيلي ان يؤثرا على شخصيات سورية تشغل مناصب خطيرة في الامن والعسكر والسياسة ؟؟

الجواب بسيط ويمسى ايضا في علم النفس
بالناقل البشري وهو اسرع ناقل بعد التلفزيون والراديو والصحيفة ويوازيهم اهمية في حالات النخبة

ما هي القصة بالضبط ؟؟

هي التالية

يعرف الاسرائيليون والاميركيون ان ايلي ناكوزي وزميله نهاد المشنوق لهما علاقات مع اصدقاء مشتركين لمسؤولين عسكريين خاصة وامنيين وسياسيين في سورية
لهذا طلب الاميركييون والاسرائيليون فرادى وجماعات من المشنوق ومن ناكوزي ومن غيرهم من العملاء والمرتزق بالابقاء على علاقاتهم بالاصدقاء المعنيين حارة ولها طابع شخصي ودود حتى في اقصى حالات الاختلاف السياسي وهو ما حصل فعلا خلال السنوات ما بين 2005 وحتى اليوم

ويعرف اصدقاء سورية في لبنان وعلى رأسهم طلال سلمان الذي ينط مثل السعدان كلما اخبره نهاد المشنوق خبرية نقلا عن ناكوزي نقلا عن بترايوس الذي اصبح اماما لطائفة السي آي ايه في واشنطن وحول العالم والتي ينتمي اليها الاف اللبنانيين واللبنانيات ومنهم كثير من الاعلاميين والسياسيين

معرفة الطرفين بما للطرف الآخر من علاقات ادت الى اعتبار اصدقاء سورية بان ما ينقل اليهم عن لسان المسؤولين الاميركيين هو مجرد خدمة عاطفية بحكم الصداقة ينقلها اليهم ناكوزي او المشنوق او الاثنين سويا لذا يعتبرون المعلومات التي تقدم اليهم عبر هاذين العميلين بمثابة تسريبة يجب ايصالها الى السوريين ليحتاطوا

طبعا ما يقوله المشنوق نقلا عن المسؤولين الاميركيين وما يقوله ناكوزي نقلا عن بترايوس ليس زلات لسان ولا ثرثرة فوق كأس عرق بل هي معلومات تضليلية - نفسية الهدف منها التأثير باقصر واسرع الطرق على مسؤولين سوريين يشغلون مواقع حساسة

ما الهدف النهائي ؟؟
مثلا :
حين يصر ناكوزي او المشنوق ان القرار الاميركي بغزو سورية متخذ وحصوله مسأله وقت فما الذي يجب على ضابط كبير ان يفعله ؟؟

اما يحضر نفسه للموت في ساحة المعركة او يفتش عن نجاته
في الحالين من دفعه لفعل ما فعل هو الخبر المنقول اليه عن بترايوس او عن ف فيلتمان عن لسان صديق عن لسان ناكوزي او المشنوق

هذه الطريقة هي التي دمرت معنويات اركان صدام حسين فسلموا بغداد للاميركيين دون قتال وهو ما حصل مع ضباط القذافي فسلموا طرابلس للاميركيين والفرنسيين دون قتال يذكر وهو ما يفعلونه مع سوريين يريدون منهم ان ينهزموا معنويا ويفتشوا عن نجاتهم الشخصية ما دام القرار الاميركي نهائي ولا رجعة عنه ...........مش قال الصديق الصدوق نهاد المشنوق لاصدقائه اللبنانيين او السوريين ؟؟

اوليس هذا ما يراهن عليه بترايوس مدير السي أي ايه الآن لهزيمة بشار الاسد ؟؟
هذه النماذج -- ناكوزي والمشنوق - هي نماذج اثنين من مئات اللبنانيين العاملين على خط بيروت عوكر - دمشق عوكر لانغلي
حتى الآن لم ينجحوا وعلى كل ضابط او مسؤول سوري يعرف بان لصديقه اللبناني اصدقاء ينقلون له معلومات نقلا عن الاميركيين ..... عليه ان يعرف ان صديقه ودون علم منه او بعلم يقوم بممارسة الحرب النفسية عليه لاسقاطه وقد اعذر من انذر

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Machiavellian dance of the Devil will end pretty badly soonest.....

Fouad MOSSAD SINIORA, Samir CIA-MOSSAD GEAGEA the assassin..., Amine CIA GEMAYEL the despicable clown...;Marwan MOSSAD Hamade and Walid CIA-MOSSAD Jumblatt are stooges and Lackeys for DECADES....their Machiavellian dance with the Devil will end pretty badly soonest.

مروان حماده لا يعرف إلا الكلام بلغة رئيسه ساركوزي الذي اثبت ولاءه للصهيونية وكذلك كل زعران 14 آذار تحت راية عقالات النفط الصهيونية

Sunday, November 27, 2011

NATO Conceals Preparations for Military Action against Syria and Lebanon....

NATO Conceals Preparations for Military Action against Syria and Lebanon....

by Vadim Trukhachev

The United States has decided to disengage itself from certain obligations under the Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty (CFE). In particular, the USA will no longer inform Russia about plans connected with the redeployment of its forces. Those restrictions are not touching upon any other country.

"Today the United States announced in Vienna, Austria, that it would cease carrying out certain obligations under the Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE) Treaty with regard to Russia. This announcement in the CFE Treaty's implementation group comes after the United States and NATO Allies have tried over the past 4 years to find a diplomatic solution following Russia's decision in 2007 to cease implementation with respect to all other 29 CFE States. Since then, Russia has refused to accept inspections and ceased to provide information to other CFE Treaty parties on its military forces as required by the Treaty," State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said on Tuesday.


The remarks from the US diplomat look like another attempt to turn everything upside down again. It is worth mentioning here that the first version of the CFE Treaty was signed in 1990, during the existence of both NATO and the Warsaw Pact. The document stipulated a reduction of the number of tanks, armored vehicles, artillery (larger than 100 mm in caliber), combat planes and helicopters, as well as information exchange.

A renewed variant of the treaty was signed in 1999. The new edition reflected such changes in Europe as the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact and the expansion of NATO. However, only Russia, Belarus, Ukraine and Kazakhstan ratified the new treaty. Russia moved a big part of its arms behind the Ural mountains, but the Western countries did not even want to execute it. The expansion of the North Atlantic Alliance continued, and NATO neared Russian borders.

At the end of 2007, Vladimir Putin decided to suspend Russia's participation in the CFE until the USA and its European allies ratified the renewed variant of the treaty. The Americans did not want to make any moves in that direction. Now they have decided not to inform Russia about the redeployment of its forces. This is obviously another violation of the treaty which the United States committed.

What consequences may Russia face as a result of the US decision? Pravda.Ru asked an expert opinion from the director of the Center for Military Forecasts, Anatoly Tsyganok.

"The USA will stop informing Russia about military redeployments. The Americans can technically send their troops to Latvia, Lithuania or Estonia, which did not sign the treaty. Will the Baltic states turn into an uncontrollable military center near Russia's borders?"

"When Russia suspended its participation in the CFE Treaty, she had the right to say that some NATO's newcomers, such as the Baltic states and Slovenia, had never signed the treaty. Now NATO eyes Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Lithuania and all other former members of the Warsaw Pact.

"When they were deciding on the unification of Germany in 1990, Germany and France said in the appendix to the agreement that NATO would not move beyond the Oder River (the river separates Germany and Poland - ed.). However, the West does not take this appendix into consideration. They only follow the agreement itself, which does not say a word about the non-expansion of the North Atlantic Alliance. It just so happens that the USA and its allies played a trick on Russia.

"Why did it take the United States four years to decide not to inform Russia about military redeployments?"

"Apparently, it is connected with the situation in the Mediterranean Sea. One may assume that NATO will create a military group near Russia's southern borders to strike Syria. They will most likely raise this issue at a NATO meeting in December. They will try to analyze Syria's actions in case NATO conducts a military operation against the country, like it already happened in Libya."

"Is Russia a big obstacle for conducting NATO's operation against Syria? Does the USA have anything to conceal from us at this point?"

"Russia is an obstacle, yes. We have a naval base in Syria's Tartus. The base is protected with air defense complexes, so the chances for aggression from NATO or Israel from the sea are slim. If they decide to attack, it will most likely happen from the side of Saudi Arabia. So the USA has something to conceal.

"There is another aspect to this. There are approximately 120,000 Russian citizens living in Syria. Presumably, a lot are Russian women who married local men. Russia can use this detail to interfere into the events in Syria.

In addition, 20 percent of the Russian defense complex will simply tip off the perch in case Russia loses the Syrian market. It is not ruled out that they are regrouping NATO forces to get ready for a war against Syria, and they don't want to notify Russia of that....

Meanwhile: Just another day in the Zioconned US Crumbling Empire of assassins.....

IAEA Exposed as Israeli Spy Front

IAEA Cries ‘Wolf’ Over Iran Nukes.....

By Gordon Duff, Senior Editor

This week, the media, all of it, traced stories about Iran’s nuclear weapons program to its real source.

The IAEA, which has been unable to locate the vast Dimona nuclear facility in Israel or even begin to ask questions about Israel’s illegal nuclear arsenal, has put together a “rigged” report built of rumors and spin.

The IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency), a “quasi-official” group is, in fact, an Israeli intelligence organization, long infiltrated, long engulfed, long ago a force for propaganda and, primarily, an organization tasked with helping Israel “hide” its nuclear arsenal “in plain sight” while fabricating evidence.

To make it more plain, the IAEA is, in fact, a clandestine intelligence organization tasked by Israel to bring about a conflict between the United States and certain European powers and Iran.

It is a conflict that may eventually involve Russia, China, a conflict that is intended to manipulate fuel markets, crash currencies, sell arms and do everything but make the world more secure.

Were the IAEA to put out a report based on known falsehoods and spin under such circumstances, and we believe this fact to be easily supportable, members of the IAEA would be war criminals and should be considered combatants were any conflict to be entered upon based on their transgressions.... to Death Squads

Who is John Negroponte?

The White House has appointed Mr. John Dimitris Negroponte to be United States ambassador to Iraq. He will preside over the largest embassy in the world, and housed in the Republic Palace (misleadingly named Saddam’s Palace by the U.S. occupation). He will be protected by high concrete walls, barbed wires and more than 150,000 occupation force, including several thousands of foreign mercenaries armed to the teeth with the most violent tools. Mr. Negroponte is Greek-American diplomat. He is currently leading the diplomatic war against the people of Iraq as the U.S. envoy at the United Nations (UN) in New York. Negroponte is Jewish. A friend in Spain expressed his deep concern to me recently: " to appoint a Jew as ambassador to the Arab country that has been devastated because of the will of a cabal of Jewish neocons headed by Wolfowitz ­ Bush is just an accessory -, is like trying to put off a fire using buckets of gasoline".

Here is Negroponte's bio. One thing is screaming at me - he is listed as having served in the US Foreign Service from 1960 to 1997. It talks about what he did AFTER 1981 - and mere mention that he was in Asia before that. He also speaks fluent Vietnamese. He is in his 70s, old enough to have been some kind of operative during the Viet Nam war. Negroponte and those death squads

He was US ambassador to Honduras during the height of Iran Contra and he apparently helped create a significant US military presence in Honduras which aided the murderous government there - Negroponte is known to have been up to his eyeballs in it. As UN ambassador, he helped negotiate and bring to life the abomination called NAFTA. CIA guys all describe him as a cold ruthless guy beyond what is commonly found in intel circles - a spook even spooks fear basically. He is in CFR, also PNAC - PNAC is an ultra-Zionist neocon war-mongering cabal who helped lie us into the Iraq war - Negroponte famously sat behind Powell when Powell lied to the UN Security Council about Iraq's WMD.

Charming guy. We should give him the Nobel Peace Prize for this distinguished resume - he will shine next to fellow Nobel recipients, the war criminals and assassins of the infamous White House Murder INC, Kissinger and Obomba/CIA Skunks....

18 Former Senators Ask for the Release of “Israel’s Master Spy”

The best thing about keeping Jonathan Pollard in prison is that he then becomes a traitor-magnet, pulling all the Zionist Israeli firsters even more out into the open. Here is a list of 18 former US senators who this month have begged Israeli Vice President for American Affairs (IVPFAA) Baruch Obama to give Pollard a get-out-jail card so he can go to Israel and live in wealth.

Senator Steven Symms (R-ID); Senator Dennis DeConcini (D-AZ); Senator Alan Simpson (R-WY); Senator Arlen Specter (D-PA); Senator and Secretary of Energy Spencer Abraham (R-MI); Senator Birch Evans Bayh II (D-IN); Senator Robert Bennett (R-UT); Senator Donald W. Stewart (D-AL); Senator Connie Mack (R-FL); Senator Joseph Davies Tydings (D-MD); Senator Conrad Burns (R-MT); Senator Timothy E. Wirth (D-CO); Senator Larry Pressler (R-SD); Senator Robert Burren Morgan (D-NC); Senator David Durenberger (R-MN); Senator Byron Dorgan (D-ND); Senator Donald Nickles (R-OK); and Senator Larry Craig (R-ID).
Our perennial torture czar Negroponte allegedly was up to his eyeballs in Phoenix in Vietnam -

Who TRULY is John Dimitri Negroponte? ....

According to cryptogon - "And guess where they’re located? That’s right: Facebook’s former building.I couldn’t make it up if I tried."

An organization like the CIA or FBI can have thousands of different databases, each with its own quirks: financial records, DNA samples, sound samples, video clips, maps, floor plans, human intelligence reports from all over the world. Gluing all that into a coherent whole can take years. Even if that system comes together, it will struggle to handle different types of data—sales records on a spreadsheet, say, plus video surveillance images. What Palantir (pronounced Pal-an-TEER) does, says Avivah Litan, an analyst at Gartner (IT), is “make it really easy to mine these big data sets.” The company’s software pulls off one of the great computer science feats of the era: It combs through all available databases, identifying related pieces of information, and puts everything together in one place.

Depending where you fall on the spectrum between civil liberties absolutism and homeland security lockdown, Palantir’s technology is either creepy or heroic. Judging by the company’s growth, opinion in Washington and elsewhere has veered toward the latter. Palantir has built a customer list that includes the U.S. Defense Dept., CIA, FBI, Army, Marines, Air Force, the police departments of New York and Los Angeles, and a growing number of financial institutions trying to detect bank fraud. These deals have turned the company into one of the quietest success stories in Silicon Valley—it’s on track to hit $250 million in sales this year—and a candidate for an initial public offering. Palantir has been used to find suspects in a case involving the murder of a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement special agent, and to uncover bombing networks in Syria, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. “It’s like plugging into the Matrix,” says a Special Forces member stationed in Afghanistan who requested anonymity out of security concerns.

Palantir’s engineers fill the former headquarters of Facebook along University Avenue in the heart of Palo Alto’s main commercial district. Over the past few years, Palantir has expanded to four other nearby buildings as well. Its security people—who wear black gloves and Secret Service-style earpieces—often pop out of the office to grab their lunch, making downtown Palo Alto feel, at times, a bit like Langley.

The origins of Palantir go back to PayPal, the online payments pioneer founded in 1998. A hit with consumers and businesses, PayPal also attracted criminals who used the service for money laundering and fraud. By 2000, PayPal looked like “it was just going to go out of business” because of the cost of keeping up with the bad guys, says Peter Thiel, a PayPal co-founder.

The antifraud tools of the time could not keep up with the crooks. PayPal’s engineers would train computers to look out for suspicious transfers—a number of large transactions between U.S. and Russian accounts, for example—and then have human analysts review each flagged deal. But each time PayPal cottoned to a new ploy, the criminals changed tactics. The computers would miss these shifts, and the humans were overwhelmed by the explosion of transactions the company handled.

PayPal’s computer scientists set to work building a software system that would treat each transaction as part of a pattern rather than just an entry in a database. They devised ways to get information about a person’s computer, the other people he did business with, and how all this fit into the history of transactions. These techniques let human analysts see networks of suspicious accounts and pick up on patterns missed by the computers. PayPal could start freezing dodgy payments before they were processed. “It saved hundreds of millions of dollars,” says Bob McGrew, a former PayPal engineer and the current director of engineering at Palantir.

After EBay (EBAY) acquired PayPal in 2002, Thiel left to start a hedge fund, Clarium Capital Management. He and Joe Lonsdale, a Clarium executive who’d been a PayPal intern, decided to turn PayPal’s fraud detection into a business by building a data analysis system that married artificial intelligence software with human skills. Washington, they guessed, would be a natural place to begin selling such technology.....LOL, how about Western Union, MoneyGramm and all that Jazz of USAID, NED, IRI, etc. and all the thousands upon thousands of store windows with such Perfect CIA Fronts in MENA, EURASIA and Beyond....LOL LOL LOL

Wednesday, November 23, 2011



Uzbekistan was an important recipient of new US aid, but has pulled towards Russia and China in the midst of Western criticism for its human rights violations. Since this shift, Russia and China have taken advantage the opportunity to fortify their position with Caspian states....

By Ayesha Villalobos,

Times gone by and the history of the Caspian region is subjected by a cyclical pattern of conflict between global powers. The era of The Great Game is a historical period extraordinarily identified for the clashing of empires, the 19th Century, the Ottoman, British, and Czarist Russian Empires squabbled for power in and around the Caspian region.

An established fact, the Caspian Sea is the largest inland body of water in the world and borders Russia, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, and Iran. Oil and gas are the sea’s most precious natural resources. Caspian oil production currently accounts for 2.8 percent of the world’s oil supply, whereas, gas production accounts for about 5 percent. Estimates of the Caspian Sea region’s proven oil reserves vary widely by source.

The United States Department of Energy estimates that the region holds between 17 to billion barrels. The British Petroleum’s estimates are 47.1 billion barrels. These figures
indicate that the Caspian’s oil resources are much less than those of the Middle East.

Stated differently, the Caspian Sea will not replace the Middle East as the main reservoir of world oil. Still, production from the Caspian will add more oil to international markets and contribute to global energy security. The sea has yet to be divided among the littoral states, and each is in quest to gain the biggest share possible.

The Caspian region does not only consist of the littoral states but also Armenia, Georgia, Turkey, and Uzbekistan. Russia is treated uniquely as a global power. Due to the Caspian Sea location within the geographical area. Its oil rich resources, strategic location, and history of global conflict combine to make this region vital to its neighbours.

A global level competition within the Caspian region. During the early 19th Century, Britain and Tsarist Russia were both expanding their empires into Central Asia. Both of these powers soon congregated on the borders of the Ottoman Empire. As these empires are closer with each other, a period of competition known as The Great Game was created.

Apprehension that the Russians would use Afghanistan to stage an invasion of India, the British initiated the First Afghan War in 1838. The objective was to set up a puppet government in Afghanistan which would provide a buffer against advanced Russian intrusion. The First Afghan War ended with the retreat of British troops from an Afghanistan that rejected to be submissive. For a while Russia and Britain shifted to coercion and proxies but rapidly a Second Afghan War was fought, only to suffer the same fate. A momentary peace followed. When that agreement was upset by the Bolshevik Revolution, a Third Afghan War erupted. Similarly, this rivalry ended in stalemate, and The Great Game was briefly abandoned and the world became entangled in World War II.

Subsequently, World War II, a destabilized Britain was replaced by the United States as a global power. The Cold War period saw the development of a global balance between Soviet Russia and the United States. In the Caspian region this balance of powers resembled like another Great Game, and Afghanistan found itself entangled once again. This time around it was the USSR that attempted to suppress this defiant country. The Afghanis resisted fiercely and bloodily repulsed the invading Soviets. Soviet expansion ground to a halt, and the Soviet Union disintegrated thereafter.

Presently, the Caspian region remains a crucial point in international affairs, motivated by the value of oil and a reinvigorated US presence. Russia, China, and the US now find themselves engaged in this blueprint of global rivalry. Beyond doubt, this has the unfolding of a dramatic sequel of The Great Game, and all three powers juxtaposed. These three states will be referred to as the global powers.


Russia has had the longest history of participation in the power struggles within the Caspian region. Even throughout the era when its power has declined, Russia has never completely abandoned its stake in the regional game. It has had vested interests in this region since it affirmed its power in the commencement of The Great Game. Today, control in this sphere is not just an issue of regional security, or energy requirements, but one of supremacy. This region is Russia’s backyard. The collapse of the Berlin wall, in 1989, signifies the end of the Cold War, and it marked the beginning, of re-examination and identification of international relations, filling the void left by the collapse of Cold War alliances. As the Cold War ended and the USSR started to disintegrate, Soviet treaties with Iran came into question. To guarantee the stability of the Caspian region, the Minsk Agreement was ratified on December 21, 1991. The Russian Federation, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and other former soviet republics signed this accord to affirm compliance with all treaties signed with the former Soviet Union.

Four days later, the Soviet Union ceased to exist as a state. The agreements between Iran and the USSR concerning control of the Caspian Sea, on the other hand, were annulled in the wake of this disintegration. Now Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan would want a fraction of this sea’s wealth. This issue swiftly drew controversy. In 1994, Kazakhstan proposed the first draft convention on the legal status of the Caspian Sea. This prompted other states to each one to propose and construe their own convenient interpretation with regard to the procedural division of the sea.

In 1996, Iran, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Turkmenistan signed the Ashgabat Declaration. In this declaration, all approved on a single plan for the division of the Caspian. In the wake of this agreement, Azerbaijan was in peril of being locked out of Caspian negotiations. In 1997, oil disputes broke out between Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan, as well as with Iran. Russia stepped promptly into both of these conflicts, and demonstrating Russia’s continuing influence among the Caspian states. Once these disagreements settled, Azerbaijan began to work more closely with Russia. In April 1998, both states stunned the world by establishing a formal agreement to divide the seabed on their coasts. Still, a unanimous agreement on the division of the Caspian has yet to be realized.

In the wake of September 11th, Russia cooperated with the increased US military presence in the region. Both states share a common interest in fighting terrorism. Collaboration in counterterrorism, nonetheless, does not mean that Russia is indifferent with the US presence. The United States’ amplified involvement has changed the military power balance in the region. Prior to US intervention in the region, Russia and China were providing security through the entities like the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). In light of new US military participation, Russia is working to strengthen its security structures in the region. Russia has consistently pursued policies that would make the Caspian states dependent upon it for security. In 2002, Russia formed the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSO) with Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Belarus, and Armenia. Russia is clearly the dominant state and acts as a “security manager.”

In addition to its security concerns, Russia has economic priorities in Central Asia. Among the greatest economic issues for Russia has been the division of the Caspian Sea. Russia has worked to create an agreement that would be mutually beneficial for all the littoral states while preserving Russian hegemony. Russia does not appear interested in seeing the development of regional cooperation that would undermine its role as a regional hegemony. For Russia and China, economic advantages appear to be practically as valuable as military or security advantages.


Chinese entry into The Great Game is a new development, but should not be surprising. China can no longer be considered just an East-Asian power. It has established trade missions in every Central Asian state and “offered to help Uzbekistan develop several small oil fields.” China has also turned its north-western region (Xinjiang) into a hub that will facilitate economic growth. This region shares its border with Mongolia, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan and India. Pakistan can only benefit if it should act quickly to draw pipelines for India and Gawadar for onward despatch to outside world. To date, China possesses trade ties with more than 100 countries and regions.
Demographically, China’s presence is being felt as well. Kazakhstan now has 100,000 Chinese living within its borders. The geographical proximity of the Caspian region makes it a Chinese priority for both economic and security reasons. As China engages this region, it has an interest in balancing the influence of the US and Russia. US bases in Central Asia place US military forces closer to China’s western border than ever before. China, Russia, and the other members of the SCO, have called for the United States to set a deadline to withdraw from military bases in Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan.

Russian and Chinese relations have been relatively cooperative to date. It would be noteworthy to mention, though, that these two are competing for oil. Cooperation agreements on security issues may find themselves secondary to China’s demand for oil.

The economic growth in China has produced an insatiable need for energy resources. While China wants to import Caspian oil, Russia wants to direct it to the West. The rising demand for oil is doubtless one of the most vital factors motivating Chinese foreign policy in the region. It also has the potential to be one of the most unstable issues in the new stage of this global game.

United States

The United States has a distinctive position in the game, as a power from half-way around the globe. After the downfall of the USSR, the US was slow to engage itself in the Caspian region. US interests for this region, on the other hand, was designed to develop notably in the post-Cold War period. Between 1992 and 1999, the US would afford approximately $1.9 billion to the Caspian states under the Freedom Support Act. In 1994, the Clinton administration established an agency committed exclusively to designing the Caspian policy. By 1998, Secretary of State Madeleine Albright travelled to this region and met with various leaders. Also in 1998, President Clinton appointed a special advisor for the Caspian region.

Oil has always been one of the United States’ leading interests in the Caspian but should not be regarded as a lone motivation of US policy. As a global hegemony (though presently, seen in a crepuscular stage), the US also has a concentration in scrutinising the intensification of Russian and Chinese power. After September 11th, the global War on Terror also became a key factor in determining US foreign policy. At present, the administration of Barack Obama appears to place anti-terrorism beyond economic considerations, and US interests in the region have never been as vigorously exerted as they are at the present. Strong US financial and military concern quickly followed the devastation of the twin towers. This integrated the establishment of the military bases within and outside the Caspian region that alarmed China. Massive financial aid was granted in exchange for state cooperation. Such commitment of troops and finances has made the US a major player in the Caspian region but the rules of the game are presently determined by Russia and China.” The US is left with modest choice but to employ these powers, due to its commitment to Afghanistan and enormous financial and manpower outlay.

United States aid was a smart enticement for Caspian states, but the US presence weighs greatly in the region. As its propensity to use bi-lateral agreements signify, the US has revealed an inclination to act autonomously. This commitment to unilateralism causes some tensions among regional states. US normative aspirations could also amplify this feeling of isolation, as authoritarian states feels imperilled by US endorsement of democracy. This is evident in the case of Uzbekistan.

Uzbekistan was an important recipient of new US aid, but has pulled towards Russia and China in the midst of Western criticism for its human rights violations. Since this shift, Russia and China have taken advantage the opportunity to fortify their position with Caspian states. Despite all these, nonetheless, the US has acquired some success in its oil priorities. In December of 2006, the Shah Denis field began supplying the new South Caucasus pipeline, carrying natural gas to Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Turkey. This pipeline is intended to expand to Europe and reveal a US desire to bypass Russia and Iran. These current power struggles between the three global powers pursue a pattern similar to The Great Game. The greatest security threat to the Caspian region may not come from external forces but from interstate conflict. Evaluation of that threat will speak to the cohesiveness of the Islamic civilization.....